NBA Franchise Futures

As expected, the Lakers and Celtics faced off in a classic battle in the NBA Franchise Tournament Finals. While these two franchises will likely retain their perch on top of the NBA food chain for years to come, they do not have any incoming prospects to boost their all-time teams. Which contenders have a chance to make up ground on these legendary franchises? Which other teams have enhanced their lineups since the construction of the Franchise Tournament?

Contenders

Golden State – The All-Time Warriors team made a spirited run to the semi-finals, before falling to the seasoned Celtics. While they earned the third place medal in the tournament, no team has more potential reinforcements ready to enhance their roster. Draymond Green, now a two-time all-NBA Defensive first team selection, can slot in next to Wilt Chamberlain, Neil Johnston, or Nate Thurmond as a power forward who can set up his teammates and guard a range of opponents. Klay Thompson has vaulted into the discussion of best long-distance shooters in recent history, and his defense will greatly enhance a weakness of their second unit. Newcomer Kevin Durant has three more years until he’s eligible for inclusion; however, if he stays with Golden State, he has a chance to alter the balance of the franchise rankings. A potential starting lineup of Stephen Curry – Paul Arizin – Rick Barry-Durant-Chamberlain, with a bench of Johnston, Thurmond, Green, Thompson, Chris Mullin, Tim Hardaway, and Tom Gola (or Jeff Mullins) has a legitimate chance to upend the mighty 17-time champions and challenge the Lakers for supremacy. Even if Durant doesn’t stay, Green provides a more natural fit for their starting lineup, and makes them more versatile and better defensively.

San Antonio – While the composition of the Spurs roster will likely stay the same, the ascendance of Kawhi Leonard tremendously boosts their upside. The two-time Defensive Player of the Year can now start alongside Tim Duncan and David Robinson to form the greatest starting defensive frontcourt in the tournament. They can also cover up the defensive deficiencies of Tony Parker and George Gervin, who will start in the backcourt. Manu Ginobili will assume his familiar role of sixth man extraordinaire, and can replace Parker when more outside shooting is needed. There’s a good case to be made that the Spurs deserved to play Detroit in the third place game instead of the Warriors. This argument can still be made in spite of Golden State’s additions, due to Kawhi’s MVP-level upside.

Other Franchises

Houston – James Harden is now eligible for inclusion on the All-Time Houston Rockets team, and he provides them with their most dynamic backcourt option. He will immediately slot into their starting lineup, next to either Calvin Murphy or Clyde Drexler. Harden’s usage rate will have to drop, and his off-the-ball defense will have to improve, but they’re a much stronger and more balanced team with him on the roster.

Chicago – The All-Time Chicago Bulls team needs shooting above all else, and they don’t have anybody on their current roster who’s poised to fill that gap. They do have an emerging superstar in Jimmy Butler who gives them another dominant wing defender and creator. While this doesn’t solve their deficiencies, adding Butler to Michael Jordan, Scottie Pippen, Jerry Sloan, Norm Van Lier, Luol Deng, Bob Love, Horace Grant and Joakim Noah gives this team an almost unfair collection of defensive talent.

Milwaukee – Giannis Antetokounmpo’s breakout season creates a wealth of possibilities for the All-Time Bucks team. Imagine the 6’11” Greek Freak playing point forward alongside all of the talented wings on this roster? Imagine the defensive possibilities with Giannis, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Sidney Moncrief, and Bob Dandridge? The Bucks are one of the more intriguing teams to watch going forward, mainly due to Antetokounmpo’s limitless ceiling.

Portland – The All-Time Blazers will be more dangerous with Damian Lillard starting alongside Terry Porter in the backcourt (with Clyde Drexler playing small forward in these configurations). His distance shooting adds another element to this offense, though his porous defense will be a detriment against the stacked rosters in this tournament.

Utah – Utah’s main problems, wing depth and defense, will be greatly mitigated by the arrival of two current stars: Gordon Hayward and Rudy Gobert. Hayward provides versatility and playmaking ability at the three, while Gobert gives them another Defensive Player of the Year-caliber center whose athleticism is greatly needed on this roster.

All-Time Miami Heat vs. All-Time Utah Jazz

It’s easy to look at our next first round match up as a contrast of styles. The athleticism of the All-Time Heat vs. the precision of the All-Time Jazz. Wade and LeBron vs. Stockton and Malone. Alley-oop vs. pick-and-roll. However, both teams have strengths that go well beyond these stylistic differences. During the latter part of LeBron James’s tenure with the team, Miami mastered a beautiful offense based on ball movement and spacing. Expect their all-time team to implement this, especially when they play James at power forward and surround him with shooters. Jerry Sloan’s flex offense was ahead of its time, and will maximize the offensive talent of the high scoring team he leads in this tournament. These tactics and several key advantages held by each side will help determine the outcome of this series.

Miami’s Advantages

Perimeter athleticism: Utah doesn’t have a good option to defend Dwyane Wade. Pete Maravich and Jeff Hornacek are outclassed athletically. John Stockton will be busy guarding Tim Hardaway. The Wade and James combination can overwhelm people on both ends of the court, and Utah doesn’t have many rangy wings who can slow them down. Speaking of James…

Jack of all trades: LeBron James should dominate in this series. Adrian Dantley has no chance of slowing him down. Expect Utah to use Karl Malone on him at times, and to play Andrei Kirilenko big minutes as the primary LeBron defender. Neither is an ideal option; Malone isn’t quick enough to defend him on the perimeter, and Kirilenko doesn’t have the bulk to contend with the brilliant post-up game James developed with the Heat.

Battle of the big men: Alonzo Mourning and (an older) Shaquille O’Neal vs. Mark Eaton and Mehmet Okur. Enough said.

Utah’s Advantages

Offensive efficiency: Dantley, Stockton, and Malone are not only three of the great offensive players of all-time, but also three of the most efficient (ranking fifth, ninth, and 56th ever in true shooting percentage). No defense will be able to completely shut down this trio. Add in Maravich’s playmaking ability, and the long-range shooting of Hornacek, and this offense has the potential to be deadly.

X-Factor

Jazz’s pick-and-roll vs. Heat’s aggressive, blitzing defense: Can Miami’s aggressive approach disrupt one of the greatest orchestrators in NBA history?

Results

Despite the brilliance of Utah’s offensive playmakers, the two-way dominance of the Heat overwhelms the Jazz over the course of the series. How do you feel about that LeBron?

LeBron celebration pose

Miami wins, four games to two.

Next Round

Miami faces the All-Time Orlando Magic.

All-Time Utah Jazz Team

All-Time Utah Jazz Team Infographic

The all-time Utah Jazz team is…interesting. They should have no trouble scoring, with two former scoring champions (Pistol Pete Maravich and Adrian Dantley), the second leading scorer in NBA history (Karl Malone), and the all-time leader in assists (John Stockton) leading the offense. The question becomes, how well do the pieces fit together? The 24th seed in our tournament, they face a difficult first round match up against the all-time Miami Heat.

John Stockton is the starting point guard, an all-time great legend who had few weaknesses and made everyone around him better. In his 19 seasons, he was incredibly efficient, with a .515 career field goal percentage, and a .608 career true shooting percentage, which currently ranks ninth in NBA history. Pete Maravich, the starting two, was an incredible showman, who had the misfortune of playing on miserable Jazz teams in the 1970s. In his five full seasons with the franchise, the team averaged only 32 wins per season. While some may ascribe blame to Maravich for these failings, the talent around him was nonexistent (see this team, for example), and he was never put in position to carry the team on a deep playoff run. Maravich averaged 25.2 points per game for Utah (New Orleans at the time) without the benefit of a three-point line. It’s questionable whether his freewheeling style fits into Jerry Sloan’s structured offense, however, and it’s hard to imagine two more different players sharing the same backcourt.

The starting forwards should be able to score with any duo in this tournament. Adrian Dantley was a mid-range and low post wizard who used his rare foul-drawing ability (currently eighth all-time in free throws made) to become one of the most efficient scorers in NBA history (currently fifth all-time in true shooting percentage). Dantley averaged over 30 points per game for four straight seasons with the Jazz, and won two scoring championships in 1981 and 1984. Karl Malone was a two-time Most Valuable Player, and the fulcrum for Jerry Sloan’s offense. Having Dantley and Maravich as the starting wings is less than ideal defensively, so their minutes will have to be staggered to maximize their effectiveness.

The starting center, 7’4” Mark Eaton, was a two-time Defensive Player of the Year who averaged 5.6 blocked shots per game in the 1985 season. Eaton was not much of an offensive player, but his presence will help make up for the team’s lack of wing defense.

This team has a solid yet unspectacular bench. Deron Williams and Carlos Boozer were the poor man’s Stockton-to-Malone in the 2000s. Jeff Hornacek was a great shooter who will get plenty of minutes behind Maravich. Andrei Kirilenko might be the bench’s most important player; he’s by far this team’s best perimeter defender, and their only other rim protector besides Eaton. Mehmet Okur was a rare stretch-five who will serve as Eaton’s primary backup. Unfortunately, he offered little resistance defensively, and he’ll have to be paired up with Kirilenko whenever he enters a game.

Expect this team to use different looks around their core players. Stockton should get plenty of minutes alongside Maravich, Hornacek, and even Deron Williams in two point guard sets, while Malone will be surrounded by both the Dantley-Eaton and Kirilenko-Okur pairings. Rickey Green and Paul Millsap will play sparingly as solid third string point guard and power forward options. Down the stretch of close games, Kirilenko, Malone, and Eaton will be a very solid defensive frontcourt pairing, and Stockton, the all-time leader in steals, will provide good resistance against opposing ball handlers.

Coach: Jerry Sloan

All-Time Franchise Winning Percentage (through 2014-15): .536